Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Brassard 50.0% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 66.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nelson
Brassard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
49.6% (230)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
53.8% (26)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.0% (30)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Nelson
Brassard
Home
48.9% (521)
51.7% (143)
Away
45.5% (516)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Brassard
P1
45.9%
46.4%
P2
48.0%
50.6%
P3
48.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%