Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Gambrell 49.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 83.0%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 50.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Nelson
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
1
Nelson
Gambrell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
51.4% (504)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
33.3% (6)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
36.2% (94)
-7.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gambrell
Home
49.8% (458)
46.7% (240)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.3% (364)
By Period
Nelson
Gambrell
P1
50.1%
43.0%
P2
45.4%
53.7%
P3
52.7%
49.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |