Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 78.3%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 63.1%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Nelson
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nelson
Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
1
Nelson
Gambrell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
1
Nelson
Gambrell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.2% (266)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
66.7% (3)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
35.1% (37)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Gambrell has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gambrell
Home
48.9% (521)
46.6% (161)
Away
45.5% (516)
43.4% (145)
By Period
Nelson
Gambrell
P1
45.9%
44.3%
P2
48.0%
46.6%
P3
48.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |