Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Minten 47.4% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.2%
Defensive zone
Minten 63.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Nelson
Minten
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.8% (155)
+5.5%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (10)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
33.3% (3)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Nelson
Minten
Home
52.5% (590)
49.5% (101)
Away
51.7% (619)
40.3% (67)
By Period
Nelson
Minten
P1
50.5%
37.3%
P2
54.4%
44.1%
P3
51.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%