Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Thornton 46.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 80.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Nelson
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
43.5% (161)
+6.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (14)
+2.8%
On even strength, Nelson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Nelson
Thornton
Home
49.8% (458)
41.5% (106)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Nelson
Thornton
P1
50.1%
50.8%
P2
45.4%
41.0%
P3
52.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |