Scouting Report
Lukas Sedlak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Sedlak 51.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Sedlak leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.2%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 54.3%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 52.9%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Nelson
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Nelson
Sedlak
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
1
Nelson
Sedlak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Sedlak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
2
Nelson
Sedlak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
51.2% (342)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
50.0% (8)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
57.1% (21)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Sedlak has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Sedlak is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sedlak
Home
51.1% (399)
50.6% (164)
Away
45.6% (406)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Nelson
Sedlak
P1
51.8%
51.5%
P2
47.5%
52.4%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |