Scouting Report
Lukas Sedlak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Sedlak 50.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 62.8%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 54.9%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Nelson
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Nelson
Sedlak
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Sedlak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Sedlak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Sedlak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
51.1% (998)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
56.5% (23)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
44.3% (70)
-0.5%
On even strength, Sedlak has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Sedlak is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sedlak
Home
50.0% (5,845)
51.9% (557)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
49.6% (534)
By Period
Nelson
Sedlak
P1
48.7%
51.9%
P2
48.5%
48.8%
P3
47.7%
52.0%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |