Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Sedlak 47.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 58.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Nelson
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nelson
Sedlak
Last 7: Nelson 4-3 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Sedlak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
1
Nelson
Sedlak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Sedlak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.4% (161)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
55.6% (9)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
25.0% (20)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Sedlak is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sedlak
Home
48.9% (521)
51.9% (104)
Away
45.5% (516)
39.5% (86)
By Period
Nelson
Sedlak
P1
45.9%
45.6%
P2
48.0%
46.6%
P3
48.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |