Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.7%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Kadri 49.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Nelson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Nelson
Kadri
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Nelson
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
50.2% (849)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.6% (235)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
43.0% (93)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kadri
Home
49.8% (458)
48.5% (557)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Nelson
Kadri
P1
50.1%
49.5%
P2
45.4%
51.3%
P3
52.7%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |