Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Kadri 47.6% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Nelson
Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
47.4% (821)
+3.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
48.8% (86)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
38.5% (13)
+4.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kadri
Home
52.3% (621)
46.6% (487)
Away
48.9% (618)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Nelson
Kadri
P1
48.4%
52.7%
P2
53.5%
50.2%
P3
50.3%
40.2%
OT
41.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%