Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Patrick 48.9% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Nelson
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
47.4% (156)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
56.3% (16)
-3.5%
On power play, Patrick has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Nelson
Patrick
Home
49.8% (458)
43.8% (96)
Away
49.0% (506)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Nelson
Patrick
P1
50.1%
44.4%
P2
45.4%
45.6%
P3
52.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%