Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Nash 51.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 77.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Nelson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Nelson
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
54.1% (292)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
57.1% (7)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
45.9% (98)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nash
Home
49.8% (458)
56.3% (183)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Nelson
Nash
P1
50.1%
58.9%
P2
45.4%
51.0%
P3
52.7%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |