Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Sheahan 53.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 91.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 86.2%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Nelson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Nelson
Sheahan
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
0
Nelson
Sheahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
4
Nelson
Sheahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Sheahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
56.4% (766)
-8.4%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
50.0% (28)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
47.7% (239)
-7.2%
On even strength, Sheahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Sheahan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sheahan
Home
51.1% (399)
57.3% (529)
Away
45.6% (406)
51.0% (504)
By Period
Nelson
Sheahan
P1
51.8%
56.5%
P2
47.5%
55.8%
P3
46.5%
50.8%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |