Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 87.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 67.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Nelson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nelson
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Nelson
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Nelson
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
50.7% (357)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (8)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.2% (194)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sheahan
Home
49.8% (458)
44.8% (248)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Nelson
Sheahan
P1
50.1%
46.2%
P2
45.4%
50.5%
P3
52.7%
44.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |