Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 31-24 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 68.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 56.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Nelson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
24
(55 meetings)
31
24
Nelson
Sheahan
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
13
1
Nelson
Sheahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
5
14
Nelson
Sheahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
13
9
Nelson
Sheahan
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
51.0% (4,968)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.6% (322)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
44.3% (1,068)
-0.5%
On even strength, Sheahan has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sheahan
Home
50.0% (5,845)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Nelson
Sheahan
P1
48.7%
51.3%
P2
48.5%
51.2%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
45.6%
35.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |