Brock Nelson vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.1% vs Chartier 50.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.3%
Defensive zone
Chartier 55.0%
Neutral zone
Chartier 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Nelson
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Chartier
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Nelson
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Chartier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Chartier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
50.8% (329)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
66.7% (6)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
45.6% (79)
-2.1%
On power play, Chartier has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Nelson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (7,357).
Nelson shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chartier
Home
49.8% (5,696)
48.3% (240)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Nelson
Chartier
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
48.4%
48.1%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |