Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Chartier 51.9% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.2%
Defensive zone
Chartier 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Nelson
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
59.3% (27)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.0% (6)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Chartier has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chartier
Home
48.9% (521)
54.5% (11)
Away
45.5% (516)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Nelson
Chartier
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
55.6%
P3
48.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%