Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Chartier 45.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Chartier 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nelson
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Chartier
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Nelson
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Chartier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Chartier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
37.7% (77)
+9.7%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
50.0% (2)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
66.7% (6)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Chartier has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Chartier is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chartier
Home
51.0% (641)
37.0% (27)
Away
44.1% (605)
41.4% (58)
By Period
Nelson
Chartier
P1
48.2%
48.1%
P2
48.1%
41.9%
P3
46.9%
29.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
32.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |