Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McLeod 47.7% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Nelson
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
47.8% (448)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
48.1% (52)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
36.0% (25)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Nelson
McLeod
Home
49.8% (458)
46.6% (253)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Nelson
McLeod
P1
50.1%
43.9%
P2
45.4%
45.9%
P3
52.7%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%