Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Couturier 56.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Nelson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Nelson
Couturier
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Nelson
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
55.6% (532)
-7.1%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
66.1% (112)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
53.8% (106)
+3.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Couturier is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couturier
Home
55.0% (362)
63.3% (357)
Away
43.5% (345)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Nelson
Couturier
P1
49.3%
57.0%
P2
53.6%
55.3%
P3
46.0%
60.0%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | OT | 03:19 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | OT | 03:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |