Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Washe 55.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.8%
Defensive zone
Washe 60.1%
Neutral zone
Washe 51.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Nelson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Washe
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Nelson
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Nelson
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
60.2% (216)
-9.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
100.0% (3)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
41.7% (48)
+1.7%
On power play, Washe has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Nelson
Washe
Home
52.3% (621)
62.0% (129)
Away
48.9% (618)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Nelson
Washe
P1
48.4%
59.3%
P2
53.5%
60.8%
P3
50.3%
53.5%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Washe
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |