Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Washe 55.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.0%
Defensive zone
Washe 68.5%
Neutral zone
Washe 52.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Nelson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Washe
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Nelson
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Nelson
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
59.8% (224)
-11.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
100.0% (3)
-45.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
41.7% (48)
+2.1%
On power play, Washe has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Washe is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Nelson
Washe
Home
50.0% (5,845)
62.0% (129)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Nelson
Washe
P1
48.7%
59.6%
P2
48.5%
59.3%
P3
47.7%
53.8%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Washe
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |