Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Boyd 45.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 74.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Nelson
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.9% (784)
+4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
43.2% (81)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.3% (62)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Nelson
Boyd
Home
49.8% (458)
45.1% (501)
Away
49.0% (506)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Nelson
Boyd
P1
50.1%
45.9%
P2
45.4%
44.6%
P3
52.7%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |