Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Staal 57.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 52.6%
Defensive zone
Froese 73.9%
Neutral zone
Froese 64.1%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Froese
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Froese
Staal
Last 7: Froese 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Froese
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Froese
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
56.6% (1,075)
-8.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (141)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
58.1% (179)
-9.8%
On power play, Staal has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Froese
Staal
Home
48.1% (312)
57.7% (735)
Away
48.5% (330)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Froese
Staal
P1
43.6%
61.8%
P2
48.4%
55.7%
P3
52.4%
56.1%
OT
75.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |