Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Froese wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 52.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Froese
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Froese
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Froese
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (101)
58.9% (1,096)
-0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
68.4% (57)
-68.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
51.8% (222)
-51.8%
On power play, Staal has a +68.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Froese is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Froese shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Froese
Staal
Home
58.5% (41)
57.0% (646)
Away
53.8% (65)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Froese
Staal
P1
62.9%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
55.2%
62.0%
Final 5 min
73.9%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Byron Froese |