Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.2%
Defensive zone
Froese 69.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 56.3%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Froese
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Froese
Staal
Last 10: Froese 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Froese
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
56.0% (14,405)
-6.7%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
62.6% (1,691)
-37.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
48.1% (2,841)
-4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Home / Away
Froese
Staal
Home
50.0% (582)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
46.1% (657)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Froese
Staal
P1
45.5%
55.1%
P2
47.5%
56.0%
P3
50.8%
55.0%
OT
80.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |