Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Froese wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 52.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Froese
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (101)
45.5% (1,190)
+12.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.4% (94)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Froese is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Froese shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Froese
MacKinnon
Home
58.5% (41)
47.8% (670)
Away
53.8% (65)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Froese
MacKinnon
P1
62.9%
45.3%
P2
50.0%
48.5%
P3
55.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
73.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%