Byron Froese vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.7%
Defensive zone
Froese 74.1%
Neutral zone
Froese 53.9%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Froese
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Froese
MacKinnon
Last 9: Froese 5-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Froese
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
4
2
Froese
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.2%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
53.3% (1,412)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
42.8% (502)
+0.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Froese
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (582)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
46.1% (657)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Froese
MacKinnon
P1
45.5%
47.4%
P2
47.5%
46.6%
P3
50.8%
46.1%
OT
80.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |