Who wins more faceoffs, Byron Froese or Nathan MacKinnon?

Byron Froese leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Byron Froese's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Byron Froese is 5-4 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 4-2, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Byron Froese or Nathan MacKinnon?

Byron Froese is the predicted winner with a 59.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Byron Froese vs Nathan MacKinnon

Byron FroeseR vs Nathan MacKinnonR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Byron Froese holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Froese 48.1% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (+1.2%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 75.0%

Defensive zone Froese 72.4%

Neutral zone Froese 50.8%

Result Byron Froese favored at 59.4%

59.4%

40.6%

Froese MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 4 (9 meetings)

Froese MacKinnon

Last 9: Froese 5-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Froese MacKinnon

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Froese

Froese MacKinnon

6 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Froese

Froese MacKinnon

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Froese

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

49.3% (984)

46.0% (11,051)

+3.3%

Power Play

25.0% (12)

53.2% (1,394)

-28.2%

Penalty Kill

43.6% (243)

42.9% (499)

+0.7%

On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).

Froese shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,578).

Home / Away

Froese

MacKinnon

Home

50.0% (582)

49.6% (6,342)

Away

46.1% (657)

43.9% (6,603)

By Period

Froese

MacKinnon

45.5%

47.4%

47.5%

46.5%

50.8%

45.9%

80.0%

47.7%

Final 5 min

48.8%

48.9%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Froese

50.0%▼

52.5%

47.9%

MacKinnon

54.0%▬

54.5%

46.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 2, 2023	3	10:44	Neutral	Byron Froese
Jan 23, 2018	3	06:09	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 23, 2018	2	09:12	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 22, 2016	2	16:14	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2015	3	12:02	Defensive	Byron Froese
Dec 21, 2015	2	16:28	Defensive	Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015	3	06:25	Defensive	Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015	2	17:28	Defensive	Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015	1	11:13	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon

Froese's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile