Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Eller 52.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 57.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Jarnkrok
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jarnkrok
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Jarnkrok
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
52.8% (742)
+0.9%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
67.6% (34)
-57.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
46.2% (156)
+3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Eller
Home
50.7% (71)
54.5% (448)
Away
47.5% (61)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Eller
P1
52.1%
52.8%
P2
40.5%
50.9%
P3
56.1%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |