Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Jarnkrok
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Jarnkrok
Eller
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Jarnkrok
Eller
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
6
Jarnkrok
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
7
1
Jarnkrok
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
51.1% (10,296)
-1.8%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
52.8% (621)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
46.7% (1,751)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Eller
Home
50.6% (2,261)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Eller
P1
47.7%
51.2%
P2
48.0%
50.1%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
40.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |