Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Foligno 52.3% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 66.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Jarnkrok
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
52.0% (50)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
66.7% (21)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Home
55.3% (47)
51.2% (41)
Away
34.0% (47)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Foligno
P1
33.3%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
48.5%
65.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%