Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 55.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Jarnkrok
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
53.4% (249)
+0.3%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
53.2% (154)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
40.6% (32)
+9.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Home
50.7% (71)
57.3% (225)
Away
47.5% (61)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Foligno
P1
52.1%
53.0%
P2
40.5%
51.8%
P3
56.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%