Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Colton 51.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 58.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 61.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Jarnkrok
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
51.6% (1,800)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
48.8% (162)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
34.5% (29)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Colton
Home
50.6% (2,261)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Colton
P1
47.7%
53.5%
P2
48.0%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
47.9%
OT
40.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |