Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Colton 51.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 72.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Jarnkrok
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
52.1% (741)
+1.6%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
48.3% (60)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
On power play, Colton has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Colton
Home
50.7% (71)
54.0% (411)
Away
47.5% (61)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Colton
P1
52.1%
56.7%
P2
40.5%
53.1%
P3
56.1%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |