Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Colton 51.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 53.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 58.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Jarnkrok
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
51.6% (1,788)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
48.4% (159)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
34.5% (29)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Colton is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Colton
Home
50.6% (2,253)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Colton
P1
47.8%
53.3%
P2
48.0%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
47.9%
OT
40.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |