Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Bedard 46.7% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 54.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Ritchie
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
44.2% (450)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
70.0% (30)
-24.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Bedard
Home
37.7% (162)
50.7% (223)
Away
35.2% (145)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Ritchie
Bedard
P1
33.3%
40.8%
P2
38.3%
48.2%
P3
37.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%