Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Bedard 41.3% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 61.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 61.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Ritchie
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
40.1% (1,580)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
51.9% (77)
-1.9%
On even strength, Bedard has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Bedard
Home
38.1% (168)
43.3% (785)
Away
34.9% (146)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Ritchie
Bedard
P1
33.7%
39.0%
P2
38.7%
40.7%
P3
37.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
39.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%