Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.5% vs 36.2%). Ritchie wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Hughes 39.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 54.9%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 57.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.8%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Ritchie
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ritchie
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
36.8% (266)
-0.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
14.3% (7)
+31.2%
On power play, Ritchie has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Ritchie is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Ritchie shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Hughes
Home
37.7% (162)
35.1% (148)
Away
35.2% (145)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Ritchie
Hughes
P1
33.3%
43.0%
P2
38.3%
28.7%
P3
37.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
38.8%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |