Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.6% vs 36.1%). Ritchie wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.0%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 68.7%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 58.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Ritchie
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ritchie
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
36.0% (2,887)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
38.8% (224)
+11.2%
On power play, Ritchie has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Ritchie is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Ritchie shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Hughes
Home
38.1% (168)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
34.9% (146)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Ritchie
Hughes
P1
33.7%
36.9%
P2
38.7%
33.6%
P3
37.3%
38.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |