Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 40.3% vs Strome 48.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 60.0%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 51.2%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 58.0%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Ritchie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ritchie
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (251)
47.7% (172)
-11.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
38.1% (21)
+7.4%
On even strength, Strome has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ritchie is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ritchie shoots right. Strome is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Strome
Home
37.2% (148)
43.5% (108)
Away
36.0% (114)
51.2% (86)
By Period
Ritchie
Strome
P1
34.5%
45.8%
P2
35.8%
46.2%
P3
39.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
22.0%▼
36.0%
36.6%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |