Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Strome 45.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 53.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ritchie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ritchie
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
44.2% (267)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
37.0% (27)
+8.5%
On power play, Ritchie has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Strome
Home
37.7% (162)
42.0% (157)
Away
35.2% (145)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Ritchie
Strome
P1
33.3%
40.0%
P2
38.3%
46.4%
P3
37.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |