Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 40.4% vs Strome 44.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 61.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.2%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 56.0%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Ritchie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ritchie
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.2% (257)
44.2% (6,744)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
49.4% (848)
+0.6%
On even strength, Strome has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ritchie is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Ritchie shoots right. Strome is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Strome
Home
37.7% (154)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
35.7% (115)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Ritchie
Strome
P1
34.9%
44.2%
P2
36.4%
45.2%
P3
39.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
22.0%▼
36.0%
36.8%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |