Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Strome 44.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 54.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Ritchie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ritchie
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
44.1% (6,839)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
49.3% (854)
+0.7%
On even strength, Strome has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Strome
Home
38.1% (168)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
34.9% (146)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Ritchie
Strome
P1
33.7%
44.0%
P2
38.7%
45.3%
P3
37.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |