Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Soderberg 45.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 78.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Lowry
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Soderberg
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
1
Lowry
Soderberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
3
Lowry
Soderberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Soderberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
46.9% (682)
+12.1%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
43.8% (64)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
39.9% (193)
+4.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Lowry
Soderberg
Home
57.9% (330)
50.2% (484)
Away
54.0% (341)
40.0% (455)
By Period
Lowry
Soderberg
P1
55.8%
45.5%
P2
55.8%
44.3%
P3
56.1%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |