Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Stepan 44.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 76.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 64.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 79.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Soderberg
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
Stepan
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
43.5% (942)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
48.1% (162)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.0% (128)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Soderberg is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Soderberg shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Stepan
Home
51.0% (406)
45.6% (629)
Away
45.0% (360)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Soderberg
Stepan
P1
44.1%
44.7%
P2
49.4%
43.7%
P3
51.5%
43.9%
OT
47.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |