Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Larkin 49.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 82.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.5%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Soderberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Larkin
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
4
Soderberg
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Soderberg
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
48.5% (1,057)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
61.4% (140)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
48.7% (117)
-8.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Soderberg shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Larkin
Home
50.2% (484)
51.4% (652)
Away
40.0% (455)
48.5% (662)
By Period
Soderberg
Larkin
P1
45.5%
49.1%
P2
44.3%
52.0%
P3
45.8%
48.0%
OT
66.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |