Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 68.4%
Defensive zone
Rowney 73.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.0%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Rowney
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
52.5% (570)
-6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.5% (145)
-54.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.4% (36)
-27.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Rowney is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Rowney shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Rowney
Pavelski
Home
46.5% (114)
55.0% (391)
Away
41.2% (51)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Rowney
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
45.1%
55.0%
P3
39.6%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%