Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 86.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 52.9%
Neutral zone
Rowney 65.5%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Rowney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rowney
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rowney
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rowney
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
55.4% (771)
-9.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.5% (165)
-28.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rowney is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Rowney shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Rowney
Dowd
Home
46.5% (114)
58.2% (462)
Away
41.2% (51)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Rowney
Dowd
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
45.1%
50.5%
P3
39.6%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |