Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 85.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.5%
Neutral zone
Rowney 55.4%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Rowney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Rowney
Dowd
Last 8: Rowney 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Rowney
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rowney
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
52.4% (6,009)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.1% (164)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
44.1% (1,635)
+4.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Rowney
Dowd
Home
50.4% (577)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
47.9% (560)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Rowney
Dowd
P1
50.1%
51.7%
P2
47.9%
50.4%
P3
49.3%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |