Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Rowney 58.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 64.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Rowney
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
40.9% (232)
+5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.0% (30)
-23.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rowney is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Rowney shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Rowney
Lafferty
Home
46.5% (114)
38.2% (123)
Away
41.2% (51)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Rowney
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
41.6%
P2
45.1%
36.7%
P3
39.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%