Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 57.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Rowney
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rowney
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Rowney
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
48.0% (1,413)
+1.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
45.7% (46)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
43.5% (184)
+5.1%
On power play, Lafferty has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Rowney
Lafferty
Home
50.4% (577)
47.3% (833)
Away
47.9% (560)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Rowney
Lafferty
P1
50.1%
49.4%
P2
47.9%
43.1%
P3
49.3%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |